Actionable ideas for the busy trader delivered daily right up front
- Monday higher.
- ES pivot 2132.17. Holding above is bullish.
- Rest of week bias uncertain technically.
- Monthly outlook: bias lower.
- YM futures trader: short at 17,670.
We called last Friday lower and it indeed began with a gratifying 100 point dump right out the gate. But then it began drifting higher and even briefly turned positive at one point in the late afternoon before sagging into the close for a small 17 point loss amid the usual op-ex gyrations. Now that that's all out of the way, we proceed apace to the last full week of the spooky month of October. We've been spared any major catastrphes so far but hey, there's still a week to go.
The technicals
VIX, daily |
Market index futures: Tonight, all three futures are higher at 1:25 AM EDT with ES up 0.16%.
ES daily pivot: Tonight the ES daily pivot falls from 2136.08 to 2132.17. That's enough to put ES back above its new pivot so this indicator now flips back to bullish.
Accuracy:
January 9 5 5 0 0.643 1433
February 9 3 5 3 0.800 1133
March 8 6 6 1 0.600 222
April 6 4 8 2 0.667 416
May 9 3 4 4 0.813 756
June 8 5 7 1 0.643 1393
July 5 6 6 2 0.539 -304
August 1 3 8 0 0.250 120
September 4 5 6 0 0.444 -59
October 8 2 4 1 0.818 237
And the winner is...
Oil put in a hammer last Friday and looks like it may be getting ready for a move higher. In addition the VIX is shows signs of wanting to turn around too though that's not necessarily on Monday. Meanwhile, the Dow has been stuck in the same 250 point range between 18,000 and 18,350 for over a month now. We're now right in the middle of that after a tall doji on Friday that nearly touched the Dow's lower BB. But the futures are higher in the Sunday overnight and the trans are looking positive so I'm going to take a chance and call Monday higher.
YM Futures Trader
No trade tonight.
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