Actionable ideas for the busy trader delivered daily right up front
- Tuesday uncertain.
- ES pivot 2142.67. Holding above is bullish.
- Rest of week bias uncertain technically.
- Monthly outlook: bias lower.
- YM futures trader: short at 17,670.
The market Monday pretty much replayed Friday's action, only in mirror image. This time we got a big pop out the gate, followed by a gradual slide back the rest of the day. It was still good for a 77 point gain in the Dow so I can't really complain, having called Monday higher. So on we go, as October slowly slips away and we already start to look forward to November and the most profitable part of the year.
Market index futures: Tonight, all three futures are higher at 12:35 AM EDT with ES up 0.14%.
ES daily pivot: Tonight the ES daily pivot rises from 2132.17 to 2142.67. That still leaves ES above its new pivot so this indicator continues bullish.
February 9 3 5 3 0.800 1133
March 8 6 6 1 0.600 222
April 6 4 8 2 0.667 416
May 9 3 4 4 0.813 756
June 8 5 7 1 0.643 1393
July 5 6 6 2 0.539 -304
August 1 3 8 0 0.250 120 September 4 5 6 0 0.444 -59
October 9 2 4 1 0.833 314
And the winner is...
So Monday's action was certainly welcome but the Dow's gap-up inverted hammer on Monday wasn't exactly the most bullish sign in the room. And the VIX is really looking ready to move higher, which would mean a move lower for the Dow. On the other hand, the VIX has yet to exit its steep descending RTC so it's not certain it will reverse Tuesday. And the futures are once again moving higher in the overnight. Bottom line, with this sort of disagreement among my usual suspects I'm just going to have to take a pass and call Tuesday uncertain.
YM Futures Trader
No trade tonight.