Actionable ideas for the busy trader delivered daily right up front
- Tuesday higher.
- ES pivot 2121.75. Holding above is bullish.
- Rest of week bias uncertain technically.
- Monthly outlook: bias higher.
- YM futures trader: no trade tonight.
Foo. Well that sure was a big waste of my time. On Monday we got a whopping 63 point range that ended with the Dow down all of 19 points. Everyone is obviously just sitting on their hands in anticipation of the Fed - and then of course next week's big election where your choice boils down to which flavor of paranoid psychosis you prefer. I haven't got much else to say about the day so let's just update the stats and move right on to the bottom line.
The VIX: The VIX looks ready to move lower, which would be good for stocks.
Market index futures: Tonight, all three futures are higher at 12:24 AM EDT with ES up 0.33%.
ES daily pivot: Tonight the ES daily pivot falls from 2123.83 to 2121.75. But ES remains above its new pivot so this indicator continues bullish.
January 9 5 5 0 0.643 1433
February 9 3 5 3 0.800 1133
March 8 6 6 1 0.600 222
April 6 4 8 2 0.667 416
May 9 3 4 4 0.813 756
June 8 5 7 1 0.643 1393
July 5 6 6 2 0.539 -304
August 1 3 8 0 0.250 120 September 4 5 6 0 0.444 -59
October 10 4 4 1 0.733 295
And the winner is...
Well we've got the Fed decision looming on Wednesday (and I still don't believe they'd have the temerity to raise rates a few days before the election, particularly given the uproar the FBI created with their own surprise disclosure last week) and given the tiny ranges we've been seeing lately, I'm really wanting to just punt and call Tuesday uncertain. But on Monday the VIX put in an inverted hammer that bounced off its upper BB after a nice five day run. Also it's also the first of November which is historically positive and the futures are supporting that with non-trivial gains in the overnight so I'm going to take a chance and call Tuesday higher.
YM Futures Trader
No trade tonight.